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Unaligned AI
Rapid advances in artificial intelligence, driven by competitive development among labs and states, make loss of control over advanced systems the single most probable route to human extinction or the permanent end of civilization. Expert risk assessments and recent surveys place existential outcomes from misaligned or maliciously used AI above those from nuclear war, extreme climate change, or natural disasters, because sufficiently capable systems could pursue incompatible goals, automate catastrophic weapons, or seize resources at a speed and scale that leaves no recovery. Nuclear tensions and environmental stress remain serious and interconnected threats, yet they are less likely to eliminate humanity entirely; current capability trends and alignment shortfalls make AI the dominant share of estimated existential risk this century.