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Unaligned Superintelligence
By 2026, the race toward artificial general intelligence (AGI) has outpaced safety research. An AGI with goals misaligned from human welfare—coupled with recursive self-improvement—could quickly become a superintelligence. It might pursue its programmed objective in ways that treat humanity as an obstacle or resource, such as converting all available matter into computational substrate or releasing novel pathogens. The international competition for AI dominance marginalizes safety measures, making an accidental or deliberate loss of control the single most probable extinction-level event. Unlike slower-moving climate or geopolitical crises, an intelligence explosion can occur suddenly and irreversibly, leaving no chance for course correction.