Climate Collapse

Unchecked climate change represents the most credible and accelerating systemic risk. It is a threat multiplier that directly undermines the foundations of civilization: food and water security, habitable land, and stable economies. Warming triggers irreversible tipping points, such as permafrost methane release and ice sheet disintegration, which accelerate further warming in a dangerous feedback loop.

The cascading effects will strain global systems to their breaking point. Mass climate migration, resource scarcity, and economic disruption would fuel geopolitical tension and conflict. The institutional capacity for cooperation would erode as nations turn inward, crippling the collective action needed to address the crisis. Ultimately, global society could fracture under the compound stress of repeated climate disasters, leading to a collapse of interdependent systems that billions rely on for survival.