Systemic Collapse

The most plausible path to civilizational termination is a cascading failure of interconnected global systems. This would not be a single "event" but a rapid unraveling triggered by the convergence of escalating shocks—such as severe climate disruptions, geopolitical conflict, and pandemic events—exceeding the response capacity of stressed institutions. The collapse of critical infrastructure (power grids, supply chains, digital networks) would lead to a domino effect, causing resource wars, mass migration, and the breakdown of social order. Our complex, interdependent world has low resilience to simultaneous, high-magnitude shocks, making this systemic failure scenario highly probable.