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AI Loss of Control
Rapid progress in AI capabilities is outpacing safety research amid fierce competition between companies and nations. This race dynamic raises the odds of creating superintelligent systems that cannot be reliably aligned or controlled. Once such systems pursue goals incompatible with human survival they could acquire resources and evade intervention far faster than any other threat. Expert reviews of existential risks identify this scenario as the single most probable cause of human extinction. Nuclear conflict and climate disruption remain severe but are less likely to produce total extinction.